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Padmashree
All work
Harbinger MotorsFY26

OpEx and CapEx forecast, line by line

Build an $11.1M facilities plan for Department 120 that a director can actually steer.

$11.1M
planned across 258 lines
82%
of CapEx phased into H2
ExcelLease schedulesASC 842CapEx planning

What I found

A facilities cost conversation is really a lease conversation. Rent and CAM are about 89% of facilities OpEx, so only around $0.9M is genuinely discretionary. And 82% of CapEx lands in the second half, which means the phasing matters more than the annual total, and H2 carries the forecast risk.

What I built

An FY26 plan for Department 120 built line by line, 258 lines in all, totaling about $11.1M. Every line is tagged with the method behind it, a lease schedule for contractual costs, a trailing run rate for recurring services, or milestone phasing for project work, and with whether it is already committed.

How it works

Hover or tap the OpEx composition to see the method behind each slice. Toggle the committed view to isolate the roughly $1.79M that is already a floor. The CapEx panel shows how little landed in H1 against what is forecast for H2.

Total plan
$11.1M
OpEx
$7.9M
CapEx
$3.2M
Forecast lines
258
$1.8M
Total plan

Toggle to isolate the committed floor inside the plan.

OpEx composition · $7.9M

Rent 82%CAM fees 6%All other 11%
Rent$6.5M

Method: Lease schedule for contractual costs

CapEx phasing · $3.2M

H1 actual$0.6M (18%)
H2 forecast$2.6M (83%)

82% of CapEx lands in H2, so phasing matters more than the annual total, and H2 carries the forecast risk.

Rent and CAM are 89% of facilities OpEx; only about $0.9M is genuinely discretionary. A facilities cost conversation is really a lease conversation, not a spend-control one.

Department 120 Facilities, FY26 plan.

Impact

  • The plan reframed the cost question: cutting facilities OpEx mostly means renegotiating leases, not trimming spend.
  • The committed floor was explicit, so the discretionary lever, about $0.9M, was never overstated.
  • The H2 CapEx concentration was flagged early, when there was still time to manage the cash.

The transferable lesson

Build the plan line by line and tag each line with its method, and the story tells itself: what is contractual, what is discretionary, and where the cash risk actually sits. A total is an answer. A tagged plan is a tool.